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https://www.i4ce.org/wp-core/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/i4ce-PrixCarbon-VA.pdf</ref>, meaning that citizens and companies running cars, trucks, machines, etc. on fossil fuels would get it at an increasing price<ref>Only if the ressource price of extraction from the soil doesn’t drop for some reason: the price could stagnate or even decrease, regardless of taxes.</ref> — the same way it was done for tobacco in numerous countries. It will discourage fossil fuel use in favour of less emitting energy sources such as wind, solar, geothermal or nuclear fission; by making them more competitive. | https://www.i4ce.org/wp-core/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/i4ce-PrixCarbon-VA.pdf</ref>, meaning that citizens and companies running cars, trucks, machines, etc. on fossil fuels would get it at an increasing price<ref>Only if the ressource price of extraction from the soil doesn’t drop for some reason: the price could stagnate or even decrease, regardless of taxes.</ref> — the same way it was done for tobacco in numerous countries. It will discourage fossil fuel use in favour of less emitting energy sources such as wind, solar, geothermal or nuclear fission; by making them more competitive. | ||
#<u>The carbon emission trading system</u>, on the other hand, is trickier to get: a given government will first estimate the carbon emissions (in tons) of the whole emitting industries active in its territory during a given time (a year). Based on those datas, the government can create an Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) by 2 ways: | #<u>The carbon emission trading system</u>, on the other hand, is trickier to get: a given government will first estimate the carbon emissions (in tons) of the whole emitting industries active in its territory during a given time (a year). Based on those datas, the government can create an Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) by 2 ways: | ||
:: - The government allocates each company with an annual emissions permit, where the sum of all permits account for less carbon emissions than the previous year, in order to reach their decreasing goals, year after year. In that case, what is call an allowance (permit to emit) would be freely distributed to companies, depending on their previous year emissions. If they decide to emit more that they were allowed to, they can buy allowances on the carbon market. Those allowances will be traded with companies who managed to lower emissions even more than the government expected.<ref>But not only: the | :: - The government allocates each company with an annual emissions permit, where the sum of all permits account for less carbon emissions than the previous year, in order to reach their decreasing goals, year after year. In that case, what is call an allowance (permit to emit) would be freely distributed to companies, depending on their previous year emissions. If they decide to emit more that they were allowed to, they can buy allowances on the carbon market. Those allowances will be traded with companies who managed to lower emissions even more than the government expected.<ref>But not only: the offset system makes it possible to create allowances that were not distributed by the government. We will come back to it later.</ref> | ||
:: - We start with this same system of an allowance market which “size” is decided every year by the government, depending on its emissions decrease goals. However, the allowances are auctioned every year on a given platform. Allowances prices varies greatly depending on the market<ref>In 2019, the price of a ton of carbon traded was of the following amount for those countries: | :: - We start with this same system of an allowance market which “size” is decided every year by the government, depending on its emissions decrease goals. However, the allowances are auctioned every year on a given platform. Allowances prices varies greatly depending on the market<ref>In 2019, the price of a ton of carbon traded was of the following amount for those countries: | ||
*17$/tCO2 for the European Union market. | *17$/tCO2 for the European Union market. | ||
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Despite the goodwill of governments, some frauds have been spotted, like the case of French cement producer Lafarge who benefited of an overestimated CO2 emissions permit, while shutting down plants; thus being able to sell its extra allowances on the carbon market for a total exceeding €1100M in 5 years. Between 2008 and 2014, the cement sector might have made €2,7B of windfall profit from this allowances surplus.<ref>Carbon Market Watch & Sandbag are 2 NGOs who contributed to unveil this scandal. | Despite the goodwill of governments, some frauds have been spotted, like the case of French cement producer Lafarge who benefited of an overestimated CO2 emissions permit, while shutting down plants; thus being able to sell its extra allowances on the carbon market for a total exceeding €1100M in 5 years. Between 2008 and 2014, the cement sector might have made €2,7B of windfall profit from this allowances surplus.<ref>Carbon Market Watch & Sandbag are 2 NGOs who contributed to unveil this scandal. | ||
source: https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Cement-windfall-from-the-ETS_4page_final.pdf</ref> No surprise the EU decided to decrease the share of free allowances since 2013: some industries were literally paid to pollute! | source: https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Cement-windfall-from-the-ETS_4page_final.pdf</ref> No surprise the EU decided to decrease the share of free allowances since 2013: some industries were literally paid to pollute! | ||
To make it even harder to foresee, the carbon market is not only composed by allowances provided and auctioned by governments, but also allowances “created” by so-called | To make it even harder to foresee, the carbon market is not only composed by allowances provided and auctioned by governments, but also allowances “created” by so-called “offsets”. An offset is basically a reduction of emissions made in order to compensate emissions made elsewhere. A polluting company would typically invest in a renewable energy project, reforestation or even de-pollution of environments, to get allowances in exchange, and emit more CO2 than they were “allowed” to. At least, The Kyoto Protocol (2007) has sanctioned offsets as a way to earn carbon credits that can be traded with other companies.<ref>Thanks to this measure, offsets cannot be a direct source of profit. “Carbon Offset” on Wikipedia, introduction, 2020. | ||
source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_offset</ref> They also created an organisation for approval of offsets<ref>It is the role of the Clean Development Mechanism, one of the Flexible Mechanism established by Kyoto Protocol. It provides help to | source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_offset</ref> They also created an organisation for approval of offsets<ref>It is the role of the Clean Development Mechanism, one of the Flexible Mechanism established by Kyoto Protocol. It provides help to offsets projects which generate Certified Emission Reduction units (CER). | ||
“Clean Development Mechanism” on Wikipedia, introduction, 2020. | “Clean Development Mechanism” on Wikipedia, introduction, 2020. | ||
source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clean_Development_Mechanism</ref>, which are very tricky to evaluate on the long run (a solar energy project or the renewal of a facility to emit less may not always be successful) and may benefit to developed countries getting “cheap” offsets from low-cost projects abroad. Moreover, the risk of fraud is high, in the form of “non-additional” credits: it means that the | source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clean_Development_Mechanism</ref>, which are very tricky to evaluate on the long run (a solar energy project or the renewal of a facility to emit less may not always be successful) and may benefit to developed countries getting “cheap” offsets from low-cost projects abroad. Moreover, the risk of fraud is high, in the form of “non-additional” credits: it means that the offset project will have taken place anyway, without the help from an interested carbon emitter. In this case, money is only going from hands to hands without financing anything else than pollution. This would even suggest that a wide part of carbon offsets do not represent actual emissions cuts, allowing companies to skew their emissions reduction easily. | ||
Exaggerating the carbon benefits of an | Exaggerating the carbon benefits of an offset is a common practice too<ref>Take for instance the HFC-23 GHG destruction model that made China built 18 new refrigerant manufacturing plants equipped with HFC-23 incinerators for $100 millions, thus generating $5,7 billions in CDM offsets credits. This type of offset credit has since been eliminated by EU officials (in 2011). | ||
source: https://www.carbontax.org/carbon-tax-vs-the-alternatives/offsets/</ref>; and same goes with what is called “carbon leakage” scam: companies are threatening governments, pretending they will close plants and delocalize in countries with no or less costly carbon pricing systems. Governments are then weakened when it comes to the negotiation of free allowances, but all this claim that carbon pricing could disadvantage companies dangerously has never been proven right in years. EU commissioned reports show no proof of carbon leakage<ref>See those different documents: | source: https://www.carbontax.org/carbon-tax-vs-the-alternatives/offsets/</ref>; and same goes with what is called “carbon leakage” scam: companies are threatening governments, pretending they will close plants and delocalize in countries with no or less costly carbon pricing systems. Governments are then weakened when it comes to the negotiation of free allowances, but all this claim that carbon pricing could disadvantage companies dangerously has never been proven right in years. EU commissioned reports show no proof of carbon leakage<ref>See those different documents: | ||
*EU Commission website provides a list of sectors at risk of carbon leakage. | *EU Commission website provides a list of sectors at risk of carbon leakage. |